Formulas

🧮 PMP Formulas

Study Notes — Formulas Page  |  ClearPMPExam.com

All EVM Formulas PERT Communication Channels EMV Float Worked Examples

How to use this page: Learn each formula, what it means in plain English, and the worked example. In the exam, always calculate EV first. For PERT, always multiply Most Likely by 4 first. For channels, always divide by 2 last.


1. Earned Value Management — Core Terms First

Before any formula, you need to understand the four inputs. Every EVM calculation starts here.

EVM Input 1
PV — Planned Value
% planned × BAC
Value of work you planned to complete by this point
If % planned not given: time elapsed ÷ total duration
EVM Input 2
EV — Earned Value
% done × BAC
Value of work you actually completed — regardless of cost
⭐ Always calculate EV FIRST in every EVM question
EVM Input 3
AC — Actual Cost
Given in the question
Money actually spent on completed work
Never calculated — always provided directly
EVM Input 4
BAC — Budget at Completion
Given in the question
Total approved budget for the entire project
Never calculated — always provided directly
📌 EXAM TIP — The Golden Rule

In EVERY EVM question: Step 1 = Calculate EV first. EV = % work done × BAC. EV appears in both CPI (EV÷AC) and SPI (EV÷PV). If EV is wrong, everything else is wrong. Never skip this step.


2. All 8 EVM Formulas

Formula Calculation If positive / >1 If negative / <1
CV
Cost Variance
EV − AC Under budget ✅ Over budget ❌
SV
Schedule Variance
EV − PV Ahead of schedule ✅ Behind schedule ❌
CPI
Cost Performance Index
EV ÷ AC >1 = under budget, efficient ✅ <1 = over budget ❌
SPI
Schedule Performance Index
EV ÷ PV >1 = ahead of schedule ✅ <1 = behind schedule ❌
EAC
Estimate at Completion
BAC ÷ CPI Expected final cost of the project. Most common EAC formula in exam.
ETC
Estimate to Complete
EAC − AC Money still needed to finish the project from today.
VAC
Variance at Completion
BAC − EAC Positive = will finish under budget ✅ Negative = will finish over budget ❌
TCPI
To Complete Performance Index
(BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC) >1 = must work more efficiently than current. <1 = can afford to slow down.
🧠 Memory Trick — >1 is ALWAYS good for CPI and SPI

For both CPI and SPI: greater than 1 = good news. Less than 1 = bad news. Equal to 1 = perfect. Same rule for both — no exceptions.


3. PERT Formula — Three-Point Estimation

Schedule Management — Estimation
Expected Duration (PERT)
E = (O + 4M + P) ÷ 6
O = Optimistic  |  M = Most Likely  |  P = Pessimistic
Most Likely is multiplied by 4 because reality is usually closest to the most likely estimate
Example: O = 3 days, M = 6 days, P = 15 days
E = (3 + 4×6 + 15) ÷ 6 = (3 + 24 + 15) ÷ 6 = 42 ÷ 6 = 7 days
Schedule Management — Uncertainty
Standard Deviation
SD = (P − O) ÷ 6
Measures spread of uncertainty in the estimate
Using the same example: SD = (15 − 3) ÷ 6 = 12 ÷ 6 = 2 days
Range = E ± SD  →  7 ± 2 = 5 to 9 days at 68% confidence

Confidence Intervals — Sigma Rules

±1σ
68%
68% chance the task finishes within E ± 1 SD. Example: 7 ± 2 = 5 to 9 days.
±2σ
95%
95% chance within E ± 2 SD. Example: 7 ± 4 = 3 to 11 days.
±3σ
99.7%
99.7% chance within E ± 3 SD. Example: 7 ± 6 = 1 to 13 days.
📌 EXAM TIP — PERT Step Order

Step 1: Multiply M by 4 first. Step 2: Add O + result + P. Step 3: Divide by 6. Never divide first. Never forget the ×4 on M. For SD: always P minus O (bigger minus smaller), then divide by 6.


4. Communication Channels Formula

Communication Management
Number of Communication Channels
n × (n − 1) ÷ 2
n = number of people on the project team
Adding more people creates exponentially more channels — this is why large teams are harder to manage
10 people: 10 × 9 ÷ 2 = 45 channels
Add 2 more (12 people): 12 × 11 ÷ 2 = 66 channels
Adding 2 people created 21 new channels

Pre-calculated Reference — Most Common Exam Numbers

n =
5
10 channels
5×4÷2
n =
8
28 channels
8×7÷2
n =
10
45 channels
10×9÷2
n =
12
66 channels
12×11÷2
n =
15
105 channels
15×14÷2
n =
20
190 channels
20×19÷2
n =
6
15 channels
6×5÷2
n =
9
36 channels
9×8÷2
📌 EXAM TIP — Two Types of Questions

Type 1: “How many channels for a team of 10?” → Single calculation: 10×9÷2 = 45.
Type 2: “Team grew from 5 to 8. How many NEW channels were added?” → Two calculations: 8×7÷2 = 28 minus 5×4÷2 = 10 → Answer: 18 new channels. Always calculate both sizes and subtract.


5. Expected Monetary Value (EMV)

Risk Management — Quantitative Analysis
Expected Monetary Value
EMV = Probability × Impact
Calculates the average financial outcome of a risk event
Threats = negative EMV (money at risk). Opportunities = positive EMV (money to gain).

🧮 Worked Example — Campaign Project

⚠️ Threat 30% chance of regulatory delay → ₹5,00,000 loss
EMV 0.30 × −₹5,00,000 = −₹1,50,000
✅ Opportunity 40% chance competitor exits → ₹3,00,000 gain
EMV 0.40 × +₹3,00,000 = +₹1,20,000
Net EMV = −₹1,50,000 + ₹1,20,000 = −₹30,000 — threats outweigh opportunities

6. Float / Slack Formulas

Schedule Management
Total Float
LF − EF  or  LS − ES
How long you can delay without delaying the PROJECT
Critical path activities always have Total Float = 0
Schedule Management
Free Float
ES(next) − EF(current)
How long you can delay without delaying the NEXT activity
Free Float ≤ Total Float always

LF = Late Finish  |  EF = Early Finish  |  LS = Late Start  |  ES = Early Start. The exam usually gives you these values directly in a network diagram question rather than asking you to calculate them from scratch.


7. Full EVM Worked Example — Step by Step

The exam always gives you a scenario. Here is how to solve it using the exact step-by-step method.

🧮 Pharma App Launch Project

BAC = ₹1,00,000  |  Total Duration = 10 months

Time elapsed = 5 months  |  Work completed = 45%  |  AC = ₹42,000

1
Calculate EV first: EV = 45% × ₹1,00,000 = ₹45,000
2
Calculate PV: 5÷10 = 50% planned. PV = 50% × ₹1,00,000 = ₹50,000
3
CV = EV − AC = ₹45,000 − ₹42,000 = +₹3,000 → Under budget ✅
4
SV = EV − PV = ₹45,000 − ₹50,000 = −₹5,000 → Behind schedule ❌
5
CPI = EV ÷ AC = ₹45,000 ÷ ₹42,000 = 1.07 → Efficient ✅
6
SPI = EV ÷ PV = ₹45,000 ÷ ₹50,000 = 0.90 → Behind schedule ❌
7
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI = ₹1,00,000 ÷ 1.07 = ≈₹93,458 → Will finish under budget ✅
8
ETC = EAC − AC = ₹93,458 − ₹42,000 = ₹51,458 → Still needed to finish
9
VAC = BAC − EAC = ₹1,00,000 − ₹93,458 = +₹6,542 → Will come in under budget ✅
✅ Cost: Under budget (CPI 1.07)
❌ Schedule: Behind (SPI 0.90)

8. All Formulas — One Page Reference

Every formula you need for the PMP exam. Bookmark this page for your last revision session.

Formula NameCalculationPlain English MeaningTopic
EV (Earned Value) % done × BAC Value of work actually completed EVM
PV (Planned Value) % planned × BAC Value of work planned to be done by now EVM
CV (Cost Variance) EV − AC +ve = under budget, −ve = over budget EVM
SV (Schedule Variance) EV − PV +ve = ahead, −ve = behind schedule EVM
CPI (Cost Performance Index) EV ÷ AC >1 = under budget, <1 = over budget EVM
SPI (Schedule Performance Index) EV ÷ PV >1 = ahead, <1 = behind schedule EVM
EAC (Estimate at Completion) BAC ÷ CPI Expected final project cost EVM
ETC (Estimate to Complete) EAC − AC Money still needed to finish EVM
VAC (Variance at Completion) BAC − EAC +ve = finish under budget, −ve = overrun EVM
TCPI (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC) Efficiency needed in remaining work EVM
PERT Expected Duration (O + 4M + P) ÷ 6 Weighted average of 3 estimates Schedule
Standard Deviation (P − O) ÷ 6 Spread of uncertainty in PERT estimate Schedule
±1 Sigma Confidence E ± 1 SD 68% probability task finishes in this range Schedule
±2 Sigma Confidence E ± 2 SD 95% probability task finishes in this range Schedule
±3 Sigma Confidence E ± 3 SD 99.7% probability task finishes in this range Schedule
Communication Channels n × (n − 1) ÷ 2 Number of channels for n team members Communication
New Channels Added New channels − Old channels When team size changes, subtract old from new Communication
EMV (Expected Monetary Value) Probability × Impact Average financial outcome of a risk. Threats = −ve, Opportunities = +ve Risk
Total Float LF − EF  or  LS − ES Delay without delaying the project end date. Zero on critical path. Schedule
Free Float ES(next) − EF(current) Delay without delaying the next activity Schedule
Parametric Estimating Rate × Quantity Cost or duration = unit rate × number of units Schedule / Cost
Cost Baseline Work costs + Contingency Reserve Approved budget excluding Management Reserve Cost
Total Project Funding Cost Baseline + Management Reserve Full funding including unknown risk buffer Cost

Formulas page complete. Every formula in one place — EVM, PERT, Communication Channels, EMV, Float, and all budget calculations. Use this as your last-minute revision sheet the night before the exam.

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